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Brookfield (BN):

  • Writer: Abacus Research
    Abacus Research
  • 12 minutes ago
  • 1 min read

We initially wrote up BN in Jan 2024, it has increased 70%, so why mention it again?

Firstly, we think the fundamentals are as good now as they were 2 yrs ago, with a >15% IRR on offer.


BN is not a well covered asset, investors ignore it due to perceived complexity, however the investment thesis is very simple:

  • With its historic focus on infrastructure, we consider BN as a beneficiary of on-shoring and increased infrastructure spend in the US.

  • Attractive structural tailwinds and growth opportunities in insurance and wealth management.

  • Brookfield Wealth Solutions is highly attractive at ~1x book, given 15% ROE.

  • BN is getting better at communicating its value proposition. Few investors are listening.

  • We see a 22% IRR over the next 2 years in our upside scenario, even if we assume a ~30% discount to SOTP value remains in place long term.



Potential Upside:   $63 (+44%)

Sensible Downside:   $40 (-10%)


 
 
 

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