top of page
Search

Guardant (GH): Start of a new product cycle

  • Writer: Abacus Research
    Abacus Research
  • Sep 17, 2025
  • 1 min read

Guardant Health is a leader in liquid biopsy, a blood test, for cancer profiling and now screening.


Guardant has two new liquid biopsy products that look to be ramping fast and are well positioned. There is a massive TAM to go after, >>$100bn vs Industry revenues of ~$3-5bn.

  • Shield, one of the new products, could be the start of a very big thing for GH, and Q2 2025 showed very encouraging momentum.


We believe that Shield could make the company: revenues could increase from $60m this year to $700m in 2028 with potential upside if Shield becomes a multi-cancer screening platform. In our opinion Guardant has a meaningful first mover advantage, it just needs to prove commercial execution.


Potential Upside: $150 (+170%) over 3 years

Sensible Downside: $23(-50%)


 
 
 

Recent Posts

See All
Nebius & DigitalOcean: Inference Efficiency

(NBIS, DOCN) 1. The Core AI Thesis At the core of all AI theses there are two beliefs: Demand for intelligence is ~infinite — this still seems to be true, at leas there is no data to the contrary. Com

 
 
 
SEDG, ENPH, NVTS: Plays on 800V

Everybody knows about the 800V conversion that is coming. NVDA etc have released the specs. There are many parts to that ecosystem change. Most of them are not ‘free options’ whereas SEDG and ENPH mos

 
 
 
Axon:

Axon is shifting from selling individual tools to providing an interconnected ecosystem. Hardware like TASERs and cameras now act as "data generators" that feed directly into high-margin software modu

 
 
 

Comments


bottom of page